II.  Meeting the Annual Measurable Objectives for Proficiency:

 

 To make AYP, schools must meet the Annual Measurable Objectives set by the state. Schools must meet the AMOs for Math and Reading and all the applicable subgroups.

 

The formula used to calculate the percentage of students passing is:

 

Percent Pass = Number of students meeting or exceeding the standard on AIMS

Number of students tested

 

To ensure that the decision regarding whether a school met the AMOs is statistically reliable and not overly influenced by random factors, the determination for meeting the AMOs is made employing a 99 percent (one-tailed) confidence interval.

 

The formula used to calculate the confidence interval:

                                     

                       

 

Let p = the percent of students in a group passing the AIMS and n=number of students in the group.

 

Even after calculating the confidence interval the percent of students proficient in a subgroup still falls short of the AMO, the group may still make AYP if its achievement indicators meet certain safe harbor provisions.

 

To make safe harbor a subgroup has to meet the following two-part test:

a.)    Make 10 percent decrease in the percentage of students failing to meet the standard (i.e. failing AIMS) from prom the previous year, and

b.)    Meet the performance goal or make a one-percentage point improvement for the additional indicator: graduation rate for high school and attendance rate for other grades.

 

Students are included in the calculation if they meet the following criteria:

           

     Have taken either the AIMS or AIMS-A and received a score of FFB or above;

     Were enrolled in the school on the testing date (first day of the testing window for grades 3 through 8) and were matched to SAIS with valid ID;

     Did not take the test with alternate accommodations;

     Were not recently arrived English language learners. A student was identified as a recently arrived English language learner if he met the following criteria: a) was enrolled in SAIS as a member in an English language learner program; b) has no enrollment in SAIS on year or more before the test date; c) his birthplace was outside of the United States; and e) the enrollment code for first enrollment in SAIS indicates that the student was not previously enrolled in any Arizona school.

     Were enrolled in the school for the full academic year. A student was considered enrolled for the full academic year if she enrolled in a school during the first 10 school days of the school year and remained continuously enrolled up through the testing date (first day of the testing window for grades 3 through 8). This information was obtained from SAIS.

 

Special Rules

 

Minimum group size. A group or subgroup is not evaluated if it had less than 40 test scores that meet the selection criteria.

     

Concurrently enrolled students. Students enrolled in two schools on the testing date are only included in the AMO determination of the school in which they were tested.

 

English language learners. For AMO determinations, former English language learners who have become proficient are included in the English language learner subgroup for two additional years. Former ELL students are not counted toward the minimum group size of 40.

 

Reference: Arizona’s School Accountability System 2007 Technical Manual, Arizona Department of Education, January 2008.